Excess Deaths: From Covid or From Lockdown?

Public health scientists use the term “excess deaths” to mean deaths in excess of the expected number of deaths based upon historical data. If there is a new and deadly pathogen that has been plaguing us since March we should see the number of excess deaths cross above the threshold of expected deaths.

Here is a screenshot from the CDC document Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19. Click the graphic for a larger image. :

The orange line is the threshold above which there are excess deaths. You’ll see that in January of 2018 there were some excess deaths. It’s not surprising – sometimes the numbers will be slightly above the line, sometimes slightly below, it is just the nature of things. In early April of 2020 we begin to see some excess deaths and they peak in Mid-April. Then they go down to levels much like January of 2018. They rise again and go down again to barely over the threshold as of now, November 2020. This is similar to January 2018 when no one paid any attention and, as you can see by the graph, everything turned out OK.

Dr. Michael Yeadon, former Chief Scientist at Pfizer, points out that cases and deaths do not track each other closely. He says the second wave is faked. The data we just looked at seems to confirm this. See his analysis here. Yet, health edicts are still being imposed on us while excess deaths are so low. This chart makes it pretty clear that, if there ever was a pandemic, it is now over.

But was there ever a pandemic? Could the lockdown itself be responsible for the excess deaths in March and April? When you consider factors such as suicide, delayed treatments for critical conditions, the fall-out from increased alcohol and drug abuse, etc., the answer is “absolutely!”

The article The COVID Pandemic Could Lead to 75,000 Additional Deaths from Alcohol and Drug Misuse and Suicide tells the whole story right in the title.

The Lancet article Impacts of COVID-19 on childhood malnutrition and nutrition-related mortality suggests that from malnutrition “there could be a 14·3% increase in the prevalence of moderate or severe wasting among children younger than 5 years due to COVID-19.”

The article Thousands of lives could be lost to delays in cancer surgery during COVID-19 pandemic discusses the relationship between early surgical intervention and increased lifespan. It specifies that “on average 1.0 years (of life) are lost for a three-month delay” in surgery. But certainly some have already died because of delays in surgery.

According to the article Death By Policy “Inpatient admissions nationwide in VA (Veterans’s Administration) hospitals, the nation’s largest hospital system, were down 42 percent for six emergency conditions—stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, appendicitis, and pneumonia—during six weeks of the Covid-19 pandemic (March 11 to April 21) compared with the six weeks immediately prior (January 29 to March 10). The drop was significant for all six conditions and ranged from a decrease of 40 percent for MI to 57 percent for appendicitis. No such decrease in admissions was found for the same six-week period in 2019. These emergency conditions did not become any less lethal as a result of the pandemic; rather, people simply died from acute illnesses that would have been treated in normal times.”

(Update, 11/30/2020: The article above looks at hospital admissions for various causes in the VA hospitals. It shows that admissions were down for six emergency conditions. A new article A closer look at U.S. deaths due to COVID-19 shows how deaths from these causes have gone down in 2020, most likely because they are now classified as Covid deaths.)

Even the CDC Director is admitting, “We’re seeing, sadly, far greater suicides now than we are deaths from Covid. We’re seeing far greater deaths from drug overdose, that are above excess, than we had as background, than we are seeing deaths from Covid.”

We already know that “Covid” mostly affects the elderly. Their relatives are prevented from visiting them in nursing homes which leads to worse care and less will to live. This can explain some of the excess deaths. Some elderly are no doubt wearing masks which will lead to hypoxia (lack of oxygen) which leads to more stress and that, too, might explain some of the excess deaths. Put all of these causes of excess death together and it is clear that either the biggest mistake of our lives or the biggest scam of our lives is going on, and on …

Sources:

Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19 (CDC Document)

A closer look at U.S. deaths due to COVID-19

Further Reading:

Overdose deaths far outpace COVID-19 deaths in San Francisco

The US covid pandemic has a sinister shadow—drug overdoses

‘Rather die from COVID than loneliness’: Colorado nursing home residents protest coronavirus rules

Lockdowns Are Serial Killers. End them Now.

Lockdowns and Social Distancing: SUICIDE Claimed More Lives in October Than 10 Months of COVID-19 in Japan

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